EEUU: Sexto año presidencia = 14% subida

Fuente: Christopher Mistal  stocktradersalmanac.com



Although Fed QE has indeed trumped many historical and seasonal patterns in recent years, DJIA and S&P 500 continue to track their respective Sixth Year of Presidential terms seasonal patterns reasonably closely. On average, near the end of July in Sixth Years, S&P 500 has been up around 8%. As of today’s close S&P 500 is up a little more than 7% year-to-date, not very far off. DJIA’s performance has been lagging; however it has generally followed past Sixth Years with a tepid start in January followed by gains into July. Should DJIA and S&P 500 remain on the average Sixth Year track, a mild 4-6% pullback between now and mid-September would transpire. 





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