jueves, 14 de mayo de 2015

Banco de Japón compra bolsa


Fuente: Zerohedge



The Bank of Japan's massive purchases of exchange-traded funds, part of its monetary easing program, could be contributing to sharp stock price swings by draining liquidity from the market…

Though the ETF-buying program had altered the balance by reducing supply, market players are noticing side effects.

Lately, "orders for some stocks have fallen, so it's gotten harder to complete trades," observed Kyoya Okazawa at BNP Paribas Securities (Japan).

Fanuc offers one example. The issue's volatility relative to the Nikkei average on a 25-day moving average basis bottomed out around spring 2013 and has been on an uptrend since. Coincidentally, the BOJ announced its unprecedented easing program in April 2013. The central bank's ETF purchases may have reduced liquidity, leading to sharper price movements.

Fanuc's 1.27% climb Tuesday was well above the Nikkei average's 0.02% increase. Its recent price movements probably have been influenced by growing momentum fueled by the company's plans to boost shareholder returns.
And here’s a bit of color which explains just how large Kuroda’s “not large” purchases are:
The bank has bought ETFs 32 times so far in 2015. This translates to about once per 2.7 days, compared with 4.3 days in 2013 before the easing began and 11.3 days in 2012 under former Gov. Masaaki Shirakawa. The average amount per purchase also roughly doubled to around 35 billion yen this year from just over 17 billion yen in 2014.

To put the BOJ's moves into perspective, if a new stock fund raised 35 billion yen, it would be the talk of the market. The central bank is making such purchases once every three days.
Finally, for those wondering whether the bank is still timing its purchases to prop up the market at the first sign of weakness, here is your answer:
The Nikkei Stock Average closed slightly higher Tuesday. Selling prevailed in the morning on weakness in U.S. and European stocks the previous day, but the benchmark index trimmed its losses in the afternoon and moved into positive territory shortly before the closing bell.

After the Nikkei average briefly dropped more than 150 points to fall below 19,500, many market players were certain the BOJ would step in. And after trading closed, the central bank said it had bought 36.1 billion yen ($297 million) in ETFs. These developments signal a growing sense of dependence on the BOJ.
There you have it. The BoJ has officially broken the stock market. The truly alarming part of Kuroda's endeavor is that the larger the BoJ's equity portfolio becomes, the more resolute the bank will need to be in terms of preventing stocks from falling because after all, you can't designate your stock portfolio as "held to maturity."



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